The Election Update: What’s Next – An Arab Spring or Egyptian Winter?

Photo: Patrick Baz/AFP/Getty Images

The Constitutional court met on Thursday to determine the constitutionality of the presidential exclusionary law, a parliamentary law that bars members of the former Mubarak regime from participating in the presidential elections. If the constitutionality had been upheld on Thursday, Ahmed Shafiq, the former prime minister under the Mubarak regime, would not have been allowed to remain as a candidate in this weekend’s run-off against the Freedom and Justice party’s (MB) candidate Mohammed Mursi.

While allowing Shafiq to stay in the race, the supreme court also reviewed laws concerning the election of the Egyptian parliament, in effect invalidating about 1/3rd of the seats in the lower house, and as a result, dissolving parliament. With no parliament, the SAC will again takes on broad legislative powers, to the detriment of Mursi of the Muslim Brotherhood, who is widely expected to win the presidency.

To read the full analysis, see my article in the Times of Israel.

Photo: Nasser Nasser/Associated Press

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